Beware When Shopping For Camera’s Online

I recently lost my beloved Canon Powershot SD300 camera. I decided it was time for an upgrade so I started researching the different options available. As obsessive as I am about doing the research I went far beyond what I originally intended to do and ended up trying to figure out the top of the line camera in the non-professional consumer space.

I found out that the Nikon D80 10.2MP Digital SLR Camera Kit with 18-135mm AF-S DX Zoom-Nikkor Lens which retails for about $1300 and its close competitor the Canon XTi 10.1 Megapixel Slr Camera with 2.5″ LCD With Ef-s 17-85MM Zoom Lens which retails for around $1220 were the best picks for under $1500.

I would have to chose the Nikon D80 over the Canon XTi because of 3 reasons:
1. The Canon doesn’t fit well in my hands. If my hands were slightly smaller like my wife’s it would’ve fit well, but it just feels like its going to slip out.
2. The battery life on the Canon is about half as long as the Nikon. Plus the battery life indicator shows full, half and quarter as opposed to the somewhat more accurate meter on the Nikon.
3. No spot metering. [I’d probably never use it anyway]

Anyway, after doing all this research I got excited and decided I’d buy one. I found a few sites that offered phenomenal deals on both cameras. It seemed like I could get either kit for roughly $800 at sites like ExpressCameras.com. It sounded too good to be true. I did some research and I found its a scam. According to several review sites, customers were charged extra for batteries, straps, lens covers,etc which normally come standard. Not only that but there was heavy pressure to upsell onto much more expensive equipment. Also, quite a few people got wrong kits and had to dispute it through their credit card companies. That didn’t really sound like something I’d enjoy going through to save a few bucks.

Anyway it put me off buying the damn camera so instead I just bought the Canon Powershot SD450 Camera. I figured that it made more sense since I had an extra battery and charger already! Plus I saved on a $1,000!

Book Review: Hot Commodities by Jim Rogers

I just finished reading Hot Commodities by Jim Rogers. Its a very easy to read book and the author does a great job explaining why everyone should invest in commodities. A lot people mistakenly believe that commodities are very risky and that investors usually lose their shirts.

Jim Rogers shows this isn’t the case and that commodities and stocks just follow different cycles. Infact in many cases, commodities have similar returns to the S&P500 but with lower risk. He explains what causes commodity prices to rise & fall, how a few different commodities have behaved in the past and how they are likely to behave in the future. If you don’t have any commodities or commodity related stock in your portfolio I strongly recommend you pick up the book.

This book is not a primer on how to go about investing in commodities. Thats the topic of another book. I also recommend The Oil Factor as a related book which also has good investment ideas. [Incidentally, Jack Schwager’s Complete Guide to Mastering the Markets also comes highly recommended but at $799.00 its a bit pricey!]

If you get both books, don’t forget to take advantage of the Get $20 off $50 when you use Google Checkout! promotion.

Coupons For Buy.com

Google has a promotion right now. They’re offering $10 off a $30 purchase or $20 off a $50 purchase at Buy.com if you use Google Checkout.

The Google Checkout is a very simple process. Its similar to Paypal in that it stores your credit card info, however its a much simpler process and takes only 2-3 minutes.

I used it today to pick up two books:
Mastering The Trade by John Carter &
Winning the Day Trading Game by Thomas Busby

The total price for both was about $72 and I got $20 off which represents a 27% discount!


Get $20 off $50 when you use Google Checkout!

Where To Invest Your Can’t Lose Money?

Here’s an interesting excerpt from an MSN money article this month.

One fund that didn’t notice was Permanent Portfolio (PRPFX).

Welcome to a home for your serious money — the money you can’t afford to lose. Launched in 1982 as an antidote to that most dreaded of economic conditions, stagflation, Permanent Portfolio has lost money in only three years, mostly recently 1994.

It sailed through the post-2000 tech-crash turmoil like it didn’t happen, racking up double-digit gains in three of the past five years. This year, as of Nov. 1, it’s ahead 11.4%.

If you could afford a numbered account in a Swiss bank — and because of six- or seven-digit minimums, you probably couldn’t — this is how your money would be managed. The approach is absolutely immune to fashion.

“We’re 20% gold, 5% in silver, 10% in Swiss-denominated assets, like government bonds, 15% in U.S. and foreign real estate and natural resources, 15% in U.S. growth stocks and 35% in U.S. Treasurys and high-growth corporate bonds,” says manager Michael Cuggino.

His turnover ratio last year was 1%, implying an average holding period for his securities of 100 years. The name “permanent” was not lightly chosen.

Here’s the entire article.

Private Equity Funds on the Rise

Doesn’t it seem that there’s been a resurgence of Private Equity buyouts of familiar public companies???

Readers Digest just agreed to be acquired for $1.6 Billion. 2005 was infact a banner year for corporate buyouts with targets like Hertz, Toys R Us, Neiman Marcus, La Quinta and Dunkin’ Brands, the owner of Dunkin’ Donuts. The targets keep getting bigger as more pension funds, institutions and wealthy individuals hand money to private-equity firms. I think even grocery chain Albertson’s was bought by a team of investors for about $9.5 billion.

Some of the bigger Private Equity Funds are well known names like KKR, Apax, Blackstone and Carlyle Group. Here’s what Wikipedia has to say about KKR

KKR helped develop and popularize the acquisition concept known as the leveraged buyout (LBO) by creating a series of limited partnerships to acquire various corporations, which they deemed to be underperforming. In most cases, KKR (often with management) financed up to twenty five percent of the acquisition price with its own capital and borrowed the remainder through bank loans and by issuing high-yield bonds, while having a more favorable approach towards the latter. KKR would often ensure that the target company’s management retained an equity interest to create a personal financial incentive for them to approve of the takeover and work diligently towards the success of the investment.

The bank loans and bonds used to finance the acquisition were collateralized by the tangible and intangible assets of the target company. Because the bondholders only received their interest and principal payments after the banks were repaid, these bonds were deemed riskier than investment grade bonds in the event of default or bankruptcy, and popularly became known as “junk bonds.”

Investment banks such as Drexel Burnham Lambert, led by Michael Milken, helped raise money for leveraged buyouts. Once the targeted company was acquired, KKR would help restructure the company, usually selling off certain underperforming assets and implementing a series of cost-cutting measures. The new, “leaner and more efficient” company could then be resold, often at significant return on investment.

While it sounds surprizingly neutral, KKR’s LBO’s were usually bad for individual shareholders. Read Barbarians At The Gate for an interesting account of how KKR successfully staged a hostile takeover of RJR Nabisco.

There are usually two exit strategies for a corporate buyout. Sell it to a big corporate buyer or floating it on a public stockmarket through an initial public offering (IPO). Earlier this year Burger King went public after having its costs reduced and being laden with debt! After dropping nearly 30% the stock is now nearly at IPO price!

Seems to be a pretty profitable business. However before you rush out and stick your money in them, while top few private-equity funds have actually beaten the stock market in the past few years, most of them did far worse after you factor in their fees. The total global market size of these funds was about $180 billion in 2004 so there are quite a lot to choose from.

And the Financial Services Authority[which is kind of like the SEC for the UK] even declared that the collapse of such leveraged-buyout firms was inevitable. Although to be fair, they don’t just do leveraged-buyouts. They also provide venture capital, mezannine financing and growth capital.

Anyway, back to my original point. Doesn’t it seem like we’ve been hearing a lot about private equity funds buying various companies and taking them private? Do you think the Sarbanes-Oxley act had something to do with it or is it just one of those cyclical things?

Closed Part Of My WCI Postion

Since WCI was up sharply, I closed out the January $20 Puts. There’s only 2 months left and like someone famously said, “Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent”. Better to take a small loss now than a bigger loss later on.

I still think the underlying fundamentals are bad so I’ll keep my other Puts and bear Calls in place. I think I should’ve entered into Spreads instead of just selling out of the money naked Calls. That would’ve reduced the premium I collected but it would’ve limited my losses. Of course, I could still implement that strategy, but its going to be a bit more expensive since my out of the money Calls are now in the money.

I expect the stock to wind down a bit going into the long weekend. I might close out some of the March positions at that time.

On the bright side, the in the money naked Puts I sold for a Junior Mining stock will be expiring worthless today!

WCI Up Sharply!

OUCH! Yesterday WCI was up over 10% on twice the normal volume. About 5 million shares traded hands at about $17.5 which makes it nearly $100 million dollars worth. I was wondering who was buying up so much of this crap, and then I find out today thats its Bill Gates. His charity indiscriminately bought several builders stocks. This is a great time for the insiders to bail on the stock!

I was wondering whether to bail on the stock[close my short option positions] and eat my some small losses or to ride it out and incur either smaller losses or maybe much larger ones. However looking at the MACD it seems that just over $18 was the short term peak and its due for a pullback, which might offer a better place to exit. I could get more puts at this juncture but I’d rather just bail.
No point letting my ego get in the way.

If anyone can provide a better technical analysis on WCI, I’d love to hear it!

Got My First Oil Check

I got my first oil revenue check today! It was for a whopping $35.12!!!! At this rate it’ll take 30 years to get my money back! Its for a project where they’re drilling 10 wells in the Gulf of Mexico.

To be fair the operators had told me not to expect anything until December 2007, so atleast they’re doing something.

I also got an email from them saying that as a christmas present they’ll be sending me a copy of The Millionaire Maker. Its a good book but I don’t recommend the mentoring course.

We finally resolved the insurance issue on our Natural Gas pipeline deal in Texas. Now thats resolved we can finally turn it on and start making some money! Of course it’ll probably be about 4 months before we see any money, but the insurance issue cost us atleast 3 months worth of delays.

Selling Covered Call Options

Previously, I had talked about selling naked puts on a small mining stock. With one week to go the options are now worth only 5cents a share or about $25. I had sold them and pocketed $175. So it looks like they’ll expire worthless and I’ll get to keep my $175.

Its not a lot of money, but I’m still learning so it never hurts to make money while you learn!

I purchased a stock today. Its a low priced stock but I think it has the potential to do well in the long run. However I’m not sure it’ll do well in the short term. I bought it at $2.70 and sold a December $2.5 call for 40 cents. If the stock is over $2.50 in about 5 weeks, the stock will get “called” and I’ll have to part with it. In return I’ll get $2.50 per share plus I get to keep the 40 cents I got upfront. That equates to a 5.8% (after commissions) return in about 5 weeks. Annualized thats a 60% return!

But probably what will happen is the stock will trend down to about $2.50 where there is a lot of support(meaning its bounced off this price before) and the option will probably expire worthless. Meaning, if I’m lucky I’ll get to keep the stock and also the 40 cent premium.

Of course, if I’m unlucky the stock will tank and I’ll lose money. However, I don’t lose money unless the stock trades below $2.30 cents, which is a 14.8% below what I bought it at and below its support line. But there’s no risk-free reward in real life.

Timeshare Buyer or Victim?

Yesterday, I spoke to one of my friends after a long time. I found out that he had just purchased one of those Hilton timeshares that I had mentioned in an earlier post.

He was taken in by the high pressure tactics and the temptation of exotic vacations! He’s now suffering from buyers remorse.

Like they say, “Invest in haste, repent at leisure“.

Well if any of you are interested in spending $20,000 on a hotel room, let me know. I’m thinking of putting together my own version of a timeshare.

We buy a small house in Nicaragua for around $120,000. Its atop a mountain next to a nature preserve with lovely ocean views. It has running water and solar power. Its no Hilton with conceirge, but instead of 52 partners, you might only have 12. Plus you get to deduct the cost of your surfing vacations, because you’ve bought an investment property! It should rent out sporadically to cover the cost of maintenance. If Nicaragua does a quarter as well as Costa Rica, it should atleast double in value!

Or if you really want to buy your own timeshare for as low as 1 cent on the dollar, check out my Timeshare store for the cheapest deals.